Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market features clear, objective criteria with very low operational risk.
Read the full assessment
This market features clear, objective criteria with very low operational risk. Resolution relies strictly on a single, named public source: Binance's BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart. The market clearly specifies the exact metric (the Low price on the 1-minute candle), the threshold ($82,500), and the exact time window (from market creation through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October). It explicitly clarifies that data from other exchanges or trading pairs will not be considered, eliminating ambiguity.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Binance BTC/USDT price drops to or below $82,500 by the end of October. It relies strictly on 1-minute candle Lows on Binance, ignoring all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair records a final Low price equal to or lower than $82,500 between the market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. Price action prior to market creation is excluded. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or falls below this price threshold during the specified window. Resolution is determined solely using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart data, disregarding data from other trading pairs, spot markets, or exchanges.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·