Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria clearly define what constitutes an in-person meeting and establish a specific cutoff of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria clearly define what constitutes an in-person meeting and establish a specific cutoff of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The rules also specify how meetings in disputed territories under de facto Russian control would be categorized. Outcome determination relies on a consensus of credible media reporting rather than a single designated authority or registry, leaving the evaluation of whether an interaction occurred to general news coverage.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
95%
chance▼ −0.9 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before 2027 or not at all. It is unusual because it resolves based on the location of the next meeting if one occurs, with territory under Russian de facto control counting as Russia.
How it resolves
The market resolves to "No meeting before 2027" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin do not meet by the deadline. It resolves according to the location of their next meeting if an in-person encounter where both interact takes place by the deadline. For resolution purposes, any meeting held on Ukrainian territory under Russian de facto control is treated as taking place in Russia. The primary resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·