Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an official registry or specific government record, giving the decider latitude to determine what qualifies as general agreement among news outlets.
Read the full assessment
Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an official registry or specific government record, giving the decider latitude to determine what qualifies as general agreement among news outlets. The rules define a meeting as an encounter where both individuals are present and interact in person, which introduces slight ambiguity around incidental contact, brief greetings, or overlapping attendance at multilateral summits without bilateral talks. The deadline of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET is clearly defined, and territorial definitions for Russian de facto control are explicitly stated.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether the next in-person meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin occurs in India before 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin have their next in-person meeting in India by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A meeting requires both individuals to be present and interact in person. The market resolves to No if their next meeting occurs in a different location or if no meeting takes place by the deadline. If no meeting occurs by December 31, 2026, it resolves to "No meeting before 2027". Meetings in Ukrainian territory under de facto Russian control are classified as part of Russia. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·