2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The question omits the specific target year, but the rules clarify that it evaluates market capitalization at market close on December 31, 2026.
The question omits the specific target year, but the rules clarify that it evaluates market capitalization at market close on December 31, 2026. No primary financial data provider or exchange is designated to measure market capitalization; instead, resolution relies entirely on an undefined consensus of credible reporting. Because different financial data sources can compute global market capitalizations differently—particularly when accounting for multi-class shares, non-US listings like state-backed firms, and differing global market closing times on New Year's Eve—the lack of an authoritative reference source leaves room for dispute if valuations are close.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
85%
chance▲ +4 pts · 24h
The market price rose from 72% to 84%, but there is insufficient evidence to identify a likely driver for the move.
News check pending.
A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.
AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 11:50 UTC
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market measures whether Apple will be the largest company in the world by market capitalization at market close on December 31, 2026.
The market resolves to the company that has the largest market cap in the world on December 31, 2026, as of market close. It resolves to Apple if Apple holds the top market cap at that time. It resolves to another named company or outcome if a different company holds the highest market cap. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·