Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules are exceptionally precise and objective.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules are exceptionally precise and objective. The market specifies the exact exchange (Binance), trading pair (SOL/USDT), timeframe (1-minute candle), metric (candle High price), and observation window with clear start and end timestamps in Eastern Time. It resolves immediately to Yes if the $400 target is hit at any point during the window, or to No after the deadline passes. It also explicitly excludes data from other exchanges or trading pairs, leaving no room for decider discretion or ambiguous interpretation.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▼ −0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Solana (SOL) reaches a price of $400 by December 31, 2026. Resolution is tied exclusively to 1-minute candle high prices on Binance's SOL/USDT pair, ignoring prices from other pairs or exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT between November 24, 2025, 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final High price equal to or greater than $400. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution depends exclusively on the Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute chart. Prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs do not count.
Resolution source
Binance (SOL/USDT 1-minute chart)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·