Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market rules provide clear, objective criteria tied to a specific exchange data feed.
Read the full assessment
The market rules provide clear, objective criteria tied to a specific exchange data feed. Resolution hinges entirely on the 1-minute candle high of the XRP/USDT trading pair on Binance reaching or exceeding $4.00 between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, in Eastern Time. If that price is reached at any point in the window, the market resolves to Yes immediately; otherwise, it resolves to No after the deadline. There is no decider discretion, and prices on other exchanges or trading pairs are explicitly excluded.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▼ −0.05 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches or exceeds $4.00 against USDT on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution is strictly tied to 1-minute candle high prices on a single Binance trading pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT on Binance has a final High price of $4.00 or higher between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The market relies solely on the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair 1-minute chart. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded.
Resolution source
Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·