Anthropic IPO by __?
6 live outcomes · highest priced: November 30, 2026 at 99% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 16, 2026 · $7.7M total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether Anthropic will complete an initial public offering by specific future deadlines. Each market corresponds to a different target date by which Anthropic shares must be listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured as a series of deadline-based milestone markets. Because each market measures whether an IPO occurs by a certain date, more than one market can resolve Yes if an IPO takes place before the earlier target dates, which would satisfy later deadlines as well.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on its specified date. Otherwise, it resolves to No. If Anthropic is acquired by an already public company, the market immediately resolves to No. Resolution is determined using official filings and announcements from Anthropic, relevant securities exchange listing confirmations, SEC filings (such as Form S-1 or Form 8-A), or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- October 31, 2026 deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
- December 31, 2026 deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official filings and announcements from Anthropic, relevant securities exchanges, SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), official press releases, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30, 2026 | 99% | ▲ 1 | Low | High | |
| December 15, 2026 | 98% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| December 31, 2026 | 98% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| November 20, 2026 | 97% | — | Low | High | |
| November 16, 2026 | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| November 15, 2026 | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | — | — | Low | Low | Resolved |
| October 31, 2026 | — | — | Low | Low | Resolved |
| October 15, 2026 | — | — | Low | Low | Resolved |
| November 25, 2026 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| November 19, 2026 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| November 17, 2026 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| November 23, 2026 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| November 18, 2026 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| November 24, 2026 | — | — | Not rated | — |