Will Trump be impeached by...?
3 live outcomes · highest priced: December 31, 2027 at 54% (+3 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $1.3M total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether Donald Trump will be impeached by the US House of Representatives on or before various specified deadline dates.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of multiple timeline thresholds for the same potential event. Because the markets cover cumulative windows starting on July 24, 2025, if an earlier deadline resolves Yes, subsequent later deadlines will also resolve Yes. Therefore, more than one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the US House of Representatives votes by simple majority to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between July 24, 2025, and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Neither a trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is required for a Yes resolution.
Key dates
- Tracking period start: — Start date for tracking impeachment votes across the markets.
- First example deadline: — End date at 11:59 PM ET for the December 31, 2026 market.
- Second example deadline: — End date at 11:59 PM ET for the December 31, 2027 market.
Resolution source
Information from the federal government of the United States, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 54% | ▲ 3 | Low | Med | |
| June 30, 2027 | 39% | ▲ 4 | Low | Med | |
| December 31, 2026 | 1% | ±0 | Low | High |