Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules establish a specific snapshot time at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch and a clear formula using total token supply multiplied by token price.
Read the full assessment
The rules establish a specific snapshot time at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch and a clear formula using total token supply multiplied by token price. However, the resolution source is vaguely defined as the most liquid price source available without naming a specific exchange, aggregator, or metric for determining liquidity. Additionally, what constitutes actively, publicly transferable and tradable may involve minor judgment if trading begins on decentralized pools with thin initial liquidity before centralized exchange listings.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chance▲ +0.05 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether Abstract's governance token achieves a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) above $600M exactly one day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Abstract's governance token is greater than $600M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the FDV is at or below $600M at that specified time. The market also resolves to No if Abstract does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution relies on data from the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·