Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules establish a specific target time of 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch and a clear long-term expiration date of December 31, 2027.
Read the full assessment
The rules establish a specific target time of 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch and a clear long-term expiration date of December 31, 2027. However, the resolution source is generically defined as 'the most liquid price source available' without naming a specific exchange, aggregator, or metric for determining liquidity. In addition, total token supply must be ascertained from project data or trackers that may not be finalized immediately upon launch. If prices diverge across centralized exchanges, decentralized pools, or pre-market venues at the snapshot time, deciding which venue is the most liquid leaves room for disagreement.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▲ +0.15 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether Abstract's governance token achieves a Fully Diluted Valuation above $800M exactly one day after its launch. Resolution relies on a specifically defined timestamp for one day after launch rather than a rolling 24-hour window.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Abstract's governance token is greater than $800M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. Launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $800M at that time, or if Abstract does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source is the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·