Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the timing cutoff (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch) and the timeout date.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the timing cutoff (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch) and the timeout date. However, resolution depends on using the most liquid price source available without naming a specific exchange, aggregator, or metric for determining liquidity, which leaves some room for interpretation if price estimates diverge across venues.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▲ +0.05 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Abstract's governance token exceeds $1 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation (total token supply multiplied by token price) of Abstract's governance token is greater than $1B at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $1B at that time. The market also resolves to No if Abstract does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution relies on the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·