Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the timing mechanism as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch and provide an ultimate longstop date of December 31, 2027.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the timing mechanism as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch and provide an ultimate longstop date of December 31, 2027. However, the source of truth is defined vaguely as the most liquid price source available without naming specific exchanges, data aggregators like CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap, or an exact metric for measuring liquidity. Additionally, how the total token supply is verified is not explicitly specified, leaving some discretion in calculating the final valuation figure if multiple exchanges report conflicting prices or differing total supply metrics at the designated timestamp.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▲ +0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether Abstract's governance token achieves a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) above $2 billion exactly one day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than $2B at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV does not exceed $2B at that time, or if Abstract does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The deciding data comes from the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·