Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide clear baseline mechanics, specifying that FDV will be calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, with a definitive expiration of December 31, 2027.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide clear baseline mechanics, specifying that FDV will be calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, with a definitive expiration of December 31, 2027. However, the resolution source is defined only as 'the most liquid price source available' without specifying a designated data aggregator, exchange, or liquidity metric. Participants should be aware that determining which trading venue or aggregator represents the most liquid source at that exact timestamp involves interpretive judgement if pricing varies across centralized and decentralized platforms.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chance▲ +0.2 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether Abstract's governance token achieves a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) above $3 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its public launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than $3B at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not above $3B at that time, or if Abstract does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined using the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·