Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the calculation method (total token supply multiplied by token price) and the exact snapshot time (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the launch).
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the calculation method (total token supply multiplied by token price) and the exact snapshot time (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the launch). However, the resolution source is generically defined as 'the most liquid price source available' rather than specifying a particular price aggregator or exchange. If the token trades across multiple decentralized or centralized venues with price discrepancies or fragmented liquidity, the decider must exercise judgment in identifying the primary price source at the snapshot timestamp.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
>99%
chance▼ −0.05 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token exceeds $50M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than $50 million one day after launch. A token launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. One day after launch is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the launch. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $50 million at that time, or if Predict.fun does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·