Will Timothée Chalamet be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the exact metric and official source: Google's official Year in Search Global 'People' list for 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the exact metric and official source: Google's official Year in Search Global 'People' list for 2026. The source is a single, authoritative publication with no decider discretion involved. A clear deadline of March 31, 2027, is established with an explicit fallback resolution to Other if Google fails to release the list.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market explained
This market measures whether Timothée Chalamet ranks as the #1 individual on Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Timothée Chalamet is ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The market resolves to No if any other individual ranks #1 on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source is the official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026 published by Google. Resolution occurs as soon as the specified list is released.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·