Will Alberto López Rosas win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves clearly based on whether the named candidate wins the specified election.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves clearly based on whether the named candidate wins the specified election. Official electoral authorities in Guerrero and Mexico serve as the explicit fallback sources if credible reporting is disputed, and there is a generous end-of-year deadline that accommodates any potential recounts or legal challenges before resolving to Other.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Alberto López Rosas will win the 2027 gubernatorial election in Guerrero, Mexico.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Alberto López Rosas wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election, excluding any interim or caretaker Governor. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from government sources of Guerrero and Mexico (including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico) if ambiguity arises.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official government sources including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·