Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide a specific cutoff time of 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token becoming tradable, along with a longstop date of December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide a specific cutoff time of 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token becoming tradable, along with a longstop date of December 31, 2026. However, the resolution source is broadly defined as the most liquid price source available rather than specifying an exact exchange, aggregator, or calculation methodology for determining total supply and fully diluted valuation. Participants should be aware that the decider will need to select the qualifying trading venue and source for supply metrics to verify whether the valuation threshold was crossed.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
4%
chance▼ −0.05 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token exceeds $700 million on the day following its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than $700M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its launch. To qualify as launched, the token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not above $700M at that specified time, or if Metamask does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market is evaluated using the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·