Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
6 live outcomes · highest priced: $1B at 5% (+2 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $3.4M total volume
About this event
This event tracks the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of MetaMask's token one day after its public launch across various valuation thresholds.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured as a ladder of valuation thresholds. Multiple markets can resolve Yes if MetaMask's FDV exceeds multiple targeted valuation levels one day after launch.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MetaMask's token exceeds the specified dollar threshold at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. Otherwise, it resolves to No. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. If MetaMask does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the markets will resolve to No. Resolution is determined using the most liquid price source available.
Key dates
- Token launch deadline: — Deadline by 11:59 PM ET for MetaMask to launch a token; otherwise markets resolve to No.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1B | 5% | ▲ 2 | Med | Med | |
| $700M | 4% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| $100M | 4% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| $3B | 3% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| $2B | 3% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| $4B | 2% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| $500M | 4% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| $300M | — | — | Not rated | — |