Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly define the resolution criteria using a specific named primary source, the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, at a precise timestamp on December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly define the resolution criteria using a specific named primary source, the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, at a precise timestamp on December 31, 2026. Objective fallback conditions are fully outlined, including the specific backup source (Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List) and clear deadline windows in case data publication is delayed. There is virtually no ambiguity or source discretion involved in determining the final outcome.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Market explained
This market measures whether Larry Ellison is ranked as the wealthiest individual on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026. The resolution is unusual because it specifies a precise time for the index data and includes a fallback source and resolution method if the primary data is unavailable.
How it resolves
This market resolves Yes if Larry Ellison is ranked as the richest person on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, at 5:30 PM ET. This market resolves No if any other individual is ranked as the richest person on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index at that time. If the Bloomberg Billionaires Index data for December 31, 2026, is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used. If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. The resolution is determined by the specified index.
Resolution source
Bloomberg Billionaires Index
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·