Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules clearly define the outcome using a specific, named primary data source—the Bloomberg Billionaires Index ranking at 5:30 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules clearly define the outcome using a specific, named primary data source—the Bloomberg Billionaires Index ranking at 5:30 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The criteria leave no room for subjective interpretation, and a well-defined fallback structure exists if the primary source does not publish in time, pointing first to Forbes and then to the most recent Bloomberg update.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jeff Bezos is ranked as the wealthiest individual on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026. The market has specific fallback rules for resolution if the primary source is unavailable.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Jeff Bezos is ranked as the number one richest person on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, at 5:30 PM ET. The market resolves No if any other person is ranked as the number one richest person on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index at that time. If the Bloomberg Billionaires Index data for December 31, 2026, is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used as the resolution source. If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. The resolution is determined by the named sources.
Resolution source
Bloomberg Billionaires Index
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·