Richest person on December 31, 2026?
4 live outcomes · highest priced: Warren Buffett at <1% · first close Jan 3, 2027 · $2M total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will hold the title of the richest person in the world at the end of 2026. Markets correspond to individual candidates and measure who is ranked first on major billionaire wealth indices on December 31, 2026.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific candidate vying for the top spot. Because the resolution rules specify the outcome based on the single individual ranked #1 on the designated index, at most one candidate's market can resolve Yes, while all other candidate markets resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if the named individual is ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index as of December 31, 2026, at 5:30 PM ET; otherwise, it resolves No. If Bloomberg data for that date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will serve as the backup. If neither source provides data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, resolution defaults to the latest available data point on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Key dates
- Evaluation snapshot: — Rankings evaluated at 5:30 PM ET.
- Primary source deadline: — 11:59 PM ET deadline before switching to the Forbes backup list.
- Final fallback deadline: — 11:59 PM ET deadline before resolving via the latest available Bloomberg data point.
Resolution source
Bloomberg Billionaires Index (with Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List as a fallback)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Buffett | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Mark Zuckerberg | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Jensen Huang | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Steve Ballmer | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Elon Musk | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| Larry Ellison | — | — | Low | High | |
| Bernard Arnault | — | — | Low | High | |
| Jeff Bezos | — | — | Low | High | |
| Larry Page | — | — | Low | High | |
| Sergey Brin | — | — | Low | High | |
| Michael Dell | — | — | Not rated | — |