Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify a single authoritative URL and table column from Box Office Mojo, measuring 2026 domestic calendar gross rather than total lifetime box office runs.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify a single authoritative URL and table column from Box Office Mojo, measuring 2026 domestic calendar gross rather than total lifetime box office runs. Resolution timing is tied directly to when December 31 box office figures are posted, with a specific backstop deadline of January 7, 2027, if data is delayed. A standard alphabetical tie-breaker is included, leaving minimal room for subjective interpretation or unexpected outcomes.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market explained
This market measures whether "Wicked: For Good" will be the top-grossing movie of 2026 based specifically on domestic calendar gross earned strictly within the year 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if "Wicked: For Good" holds the highest domestic calendar gross for 2026 according to the "Gross" column on Box Office Mojo once December 31 data is available. It resolves to No if any other film holds the highest gross. Dates outside of 2026 do not count toward the gross. In the event of an exact tie, the film that appears first alphabetically will be considered the winner. The deciding source is Box Office Mojo, but if no final data is available by January 7, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source
Box Office Mojo
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·