Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely on an objective, named primary source URL (Box Office Mojo's 2026 calendar gross table).
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely on an objective, named primary source URL (Box Office Mojo's 2026 calendar gross table). The rules explicitly define that only domestic calendar gross within 2026 counts, rather than lifetime or worldwide box office. A straightforward tie-breaking mechanism (alphabetical order) is defined, and a specific fallback deadline (January 7, 2027) is provided in case the primary website does not publish final year-end figures in time. Overall, the market mechanics provide clear expectations with minimal room for subjective judgment.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market explained
This market measures whether Scream 7 achieves the highest domestic calendar gross of 2026. Resolution relies specifically on 2026 calendar-year box office earnings rather than lifetime gross.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Scream 7 is listed with the highest domestic gross for 2026 on the designated Box Office Mojo calendar gross page once December 31 data is available. Earnings outside of 2026 do not count toward the gross. In the event of an exact tie for highest gross, the film that appears first alphabetically is deemed the winner. The market resolves to No if any other film has the highest 2026 calendar gross. Resolution is decided using Box Office Mojo data, or another credible source if final data is unavailable by January 7, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Box Office Mojo
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·