Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify an exact URL and table column from Box Office Mojo to determine the highest-earning domestic film for the 2026 calendar year.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify an exact URL and table column from Box Office Mojo to determine the highest-earning domestic film for the 2026 calendar year. Resolution occurs once December 31 data is published, with a clear fallback deadline of January 7, 2027, and an explicit alphabetical tie-breaker. Participants should simply note that the ranking reflects domestic calendar earnings within 2026 rather than total lifetime gross for films released that year.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market explained
This market measures whether "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" will achieve the highest domestic calendar gross in 2026. Unusually, earnings outside the 2026 calendar year are excluded, and an exact tie is broken alphabetically.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" is the film with the highest 2026 domestic calendar gross listed in the Gross column on Box Office Mojo once December 31 data is published. Earnings from dates outside of 2026 do not count toward the total. In the event of an exact tie, the film appearing first alphabetically wins. The market resolves No if any other film finishes with the highest gross. The primary deciding source is Box Office Mojo's 2026 calendar grosses page. If final data is unavailable by January 7, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, another credible source will be chosen.
Resolution source
Box Office Mojo (Calendar Grosses for 2026)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·