Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify a single authoritative URL and table column from Box Office Mojo, explicitly measuring domestic calendar gross earned strictly within 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify a single authoritative URL and table column from Box Office Mojo, explicitly measuring domestic calendar gross earned strictly within 2026. A clear resolution timeline is established once December 31 data is published, alongside a defined deadline of January 7, 2027, before any alternate credible source may be consulted. An explicit alphabetical tie-breaker is also defined in case of an exact gross match. Anyone looking solely at the question should note that the resolution measures domestic calendar gross rather than global box office or full lifetime theatrical runs.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market explained
This market measures whether The Super Mario Galaxy Movie achieves the highest domestic calendar gross in 2026. Resolution specifically looks at 2026 calendar-year gross rather than total lifetime domestic earnings.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if The Super Mario Galaxy Movie has the highest 2026 gross in the Gross column on Box Office Mojo's 2026 calendar grosses page once December 31 data is published. The market resolves to No if another film holds the top grossing spot. Only domestic earnings within the 2026 calendar year count toward this total; earnings outside 2026 are excluded. In the event of an exact tie, the film appearing first alphabetically wins. If final data is unavailable by January 7, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen to determine the outcome.
Resolution source
Box Office Mojo
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·