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CryptoCloses · in 14 hours$20.4K volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 14? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 14?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market features clear, objective resolution criteria.

Read the full assessment

This market features clear, objective resolution criteria. It relies on a single specified data point: the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 14. The exact URL, trading pair, timeframe, and field (Close price) are explicitly defined, leaving virtually no room for discretion or subjective interpretation.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

28%

chance

▼ −66.95 pts · 24h

Yes28¢
No72¢
70,000 · Yes · 1MO 94.5 H 97.5 L 14.7 C 27.7−66.8 (−70.7%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −74 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 14:40 UTC

The probability fell from 93% to 22% as Bitcoin declined 0.69% during the hour and sat 3.45% below the $70,000 threshold on Binance, making finishing above $70,000 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 11:00 UTC, 63% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.7% in the move hour, −1.4% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 37 hours after the move hour.
  • 4 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: 72,000 (down), 74,000 (down), 68,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 05:20 UTC

Earlier

▲ +12 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 16:40 UTCThe market price rose from 84% to 96% as Bitcoin gained 0.55% in the hour and 1.52% over the window on Binance, increasing the likelihood of Bitcoin holding above $70,000.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 16:51 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $70,000 on November 14, 2026. It relies exclusively on a specific one-minute candle on Binance rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 14 has a final Close price strictly higher than $70,000. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution depends exclusively on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price, without consideration of other exchanges or pairs. Price precision matches the decimal places provided by the source.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·