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CryptoCloses · in 13 hours$7.7K volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 14? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 14?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market has very specific and objective resolution criteria.

Read the full assessment

This market has very specific and objective resolution criteria. It relies on a single named source, the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle, and points to a precise metric—the final Close price at 12:00 PM ET on November 14. Because the exact trading pair, timeframe, exchange, and timestamp are clearly defined, there is minimal room for interpretive dispute or decider discretion.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

<1%

chance

▼ −9.35 pts · 24h

Yes<1¢
No>99¢
76,000 · Yes · 1MO 41.0 H 44.5 L 0.5 C 0.7−40.4 (−98.4%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −21 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 10:25 UTC

The market price dropped from 20% to 3%. A 0.6% fall in Bitcoin on Binance during the move hour, leaving it 3.41% below the $76,000 threshold, was the likely driver reducing the chance of finishing above that level.

  • Largest hourly change: 22:00 UTC, 76% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.6% in the move hour, −0.8% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 2 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: 74,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 16:35 UTC

Earlier

▼ −14 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 15:10 UTCThe market fell from 31% to 17% as Bitcoin dropped 1.6% on Binance during the move hour, making it less likely to finish above $76,000.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 15:20 UTC

Earlier

▼ −12 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 09:55 UTCThe market dropped from 30% to 18% as Bitcoin fell 1.59% on Binance during the move hour, making it less likely to finish above $76,000.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 10:05 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $76,000 at a specific time on November 14. Resolution relies strictly on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data rather than broad index prices or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 14 has a final Close price strictly higher than $76,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $76,000. Price precision follows the decimal places on the source. The resolution is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle data.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·