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CryptoCloses · in 14 hours$3.1K volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 14? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 14?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market features clear and unambiguous resolution mechanics.

Read the full assessment

This market features clear and unambiguous resolution mechanics. It relies on a specific, named public data feed (the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle) at an exact timestamp (12:00 PM ET on November 14). The threshold condition is strictly defined by the final close price of that single candle, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

2%

chance

▼ −36.8 pts · 24h

Yes2¢
No98¢
74,000 · Yes · 1MO 62.5 H 68.0 L 0.8 C 1.7−60.8 (−97.3%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −50 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 10:25 UTC

The market fell from 49% to 10%. Bitcoin dropped 0.6% on Binance during the move hour, making it less likely to finish above $74,000, which was the likely driver of the decrease.

  • Largest hourly change: 22:00 UTC, larger than the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.6% in the move hour, −0.8% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 2 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: 76,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 20:35 UTC

Earlier

▲ +22 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 15:55 UTCThe market price rose from 40% to 59% as Bitcoin gained 0.57% on Binance during the move hour, sitting just 0.58% below the $74,000 threshold and increasing the likelihood of closing above that level.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 17:35 UTC

Earlier

▼ −15 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 15:10 UTCThe market fell from 59% to 44% as Bitcoin dropped 1.59% on Binance during the hour, reducing the likelihood of the price holding above $74,000.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 15:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $74,000 on November 14 at 12:00 PM ET, specifically measured by Binance's BTC/USDT trading pair.

How it resolves

This market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 14 has a final Close price strictly higher than $74,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or less than $74,000. The outcome is determined exclusively using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close data, with precision determined by the source. Other exchanges and trading pairs are disregarded.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle Close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·