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CryptoCloses · in 14 hours$15.2K volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 14? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 14?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market has well-defined, objective resolution rules.

Read the full assessment

This market has well-defined, objective resolution rules. It resolves strictly based on a specific 1-minute candlestick (BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 14) from a named exchange, Binance. The URL, trading pair, timeframe, and price metric ('Close') are all explicitly specified, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion or timing confusion. A market participant should simply be aware that only the Binance BTC/USDT pair determines the outcome, regardless of price action on other exchanges or across other currency pairs.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

94%

chance

▼ −5.1 pts · 24h

Yes94¢
No6¢
66,000 · Yes · 1MO 98.2 H 99.0 L 85.8 C 93.8−4.5 (−4.5%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −12 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 05:10 UTC

The market fell from 99% to 87% as Bitcoin dropped 1.83% on Binance during the move hour (and 6.8% over the window), moving price closer to the $66,000 threshold and making staying above it less certain.

  • Largest hourly change: 03:00 UTC, 63% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.8% in the move hour, −6.8% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 21 hours after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: 68,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 05:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $66,000 at a specific minute on November 14, 2026. It relies strictly on a single 1-minute candle on Binance for the BTC/USDT pair rather than broader index averages or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 14 has a final Close price strictly higher than $66,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or lower than $66,000. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data decides the outcome, and prices from other trading pairs or exchanges are not considered. Price precision matches the decimal places provided by the source.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·