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CryptoCloses · in 14 hours$19K volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 14? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 14?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market features clear and unambiguous resolution mechanics.

Read the full assessment

This market features clear and unambiguous resolution mechanics. It relies on a specific, named source and pair (Binance BTC/USDT) and explicitly defines the exact 1-minute candle (closing at 12:00 ET noon) and data point (Close price) used to determine the outcome. The threshold is strictly specified, leaving no room for discretionary interpretation or unexpected exceptions.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

6%

chance

▼ −73 pts · 24h

Yes6¢
No95¢
72,000 · Yes · 1MO 80.0 H 90.5 L 2.7 C 5.5−74.5 (−93.1%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −71 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 11:55 UTC

The market price dropped from 81% to 13% as Bitcoin fell 0.69% on Binance during the hour to sit 1.99% below the $72,000 threshold, the likely driver making reaching the target less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 11:00 UTC, larger than the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.7% in the move hour, −0.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 37 hours after the move hour.
  • 4 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: 74,000 (down), 70,000 (down), 76,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 03:36 UTC

Earlier

▲ +13 pts · 12 Nov 2026, 02:25 UTCThe market price rose from 70% to 83% with around 50 hours remaining until market close, consistent with the contract settling toward a positive outcome over time despite Bitcoin dipping 0.6% on Binance during the move hour.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 02:35 UTC

Earlier

▲ +22 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 15:55 UTCThe market rose from 67% to 86% as Bitcoin gained 0.57% on Binance during the hour of the move, increasing the likelihood of holding above $72,000 ahead of the November 14 deadline.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 16:50 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $72,000 on November 14 based on a specific one-minute candle on Binance, rather than prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 ET (noon) on November 14 has a final Close price strictly higher than $72,000. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price data, with price precision based on the decimal places provided by the source.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle data

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·