Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 14?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules clearly specify a single, deterministic metric: the close price of the 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 14.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules clearly specify a single, deterministic metric: the close price of the 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 14. A direct link to the source and exact candle settings are provided, leaving virtually no room for interpretation or discretion. Participants only need to be aware that the price is measured strictly against Binance's BTC/USDT pair at that exact minute, rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▲ +0.15 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $86,000 at a specific minute on November 14, 2026. It relies exclusively on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 14 has a final Close price strictly higher than $86,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or below $86,000 at that time. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data is the sole deciding source; other exchanges and trading pairs are not considered. Price precision matches the decimal places provided by the source.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·