Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
10 live outcomes · highest priced: $1.25–$1.5T at 38% (+2 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2028 · $6M total volume
About this event
This event tracks the valuation of Anthropic upon going public. Its markets measure the company's total market capitalization at the closing share price on its first day of trading, segmented into various value brackets or an outcome for no IPO occurring within the specified timeframe.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of mutually exclusive value brackets representing different potential closing market capitalization ranges on IPO day. Because market cap falls into a single range, at most one market can resolve Yes. If a figure falls exactly between two brackets, it resolves to the higher range bracket.
How it resolves
Each market resolves Yes if Anthropic's market capitalization at the close of its first trading day falls within that market's designated range; otherwise it resolves No. Market capitalization is calculated as shares outstanding multiplied by the closing price on the first trading day. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the event resolves to the 'No IPO by December 31, 2027' outcome. In the case of an interrupted session, official closing prices from abbreviated sessions or the next trading day with published prices are used.
Key dates
- IPO Deadline: — Market resolves to 'No IPO by December 31, 2027' if no IPO occurs by 11:59 PM ET on this date.
Resolution source
The primary exchange’s official listing page, or another reliable source if not displayed.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1.25–$1.5T | 38% | ▲ 2 | Low | High | |
| $1.5–$1.75T | 24% | ▼ 3 | Low | Med | |
| <$1.25T | 22% | ▲ 2 | Low | High | |
| $1.75–$2.0T | 11% | ▼ 2 | Low | High | |
| $2.0–$2.25T | 2% | ▼ 2 | Low | High | |
| $2.25–$2.5T | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| No IPO by December 31, 2027 | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| $3.0T+ | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| $2.5–$2.75T | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| $2.75–$3.0T | <1% | ±0 | Low | High |