PolymarketEvent5 live of 6 outcomes

When will Bitcoin hit $100k?

5 live outcomes · highest priced: by December 31, 2027 at 59% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $170.1K total volume

About this event

This event tracks whether and when Bitcoin (BTC) will reach a price of $100,000 on Binance. Each market measures whether the target price is achieved on or before a specified calendar deadline.

How the outcomes relate

The event is structured as a series of time-based deadlines for the same price target. Multiple markets can resolve Yes, because reaching $100,000 prior to an earlier deadline automatically satisfies the criteria for all subsequent deadline markets.

How it resolves

A market immediately resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT trading pair records a final High price equal to or greater than $100,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the market's title. If the price does not reach or exceed $100,000 by that deadline, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, excluding other exchanges, spot markets, or trading pairs.

Key dates

  • March 31, 2027 deadline: — Deadline at 11:59 PM ET for Bitcoin to reach $100,000 for the March 31, 2027 market.
  • June 30, 2027 deadline: — Deadline at 11:59 PM ET for Bitcoin to reach $100,000 for the June 30, 2027 market.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for When will Bitcoin hit $100k?
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
by December 31, 202759%▼ 1LowLow
by September 30, 202735%▼ 15LowMed
by June 30, 202724%▼ 14LowMed
by March 31, 202714%▼ 10LowMed
by December 31, 20264%▼ 2LowMed
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026?——LowMedResolved

Highest-priced outcome

by December 31, 2027 · Since Nov 10Range 56–68%