Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide precise and objective resolution criteria tied directly to a single, named source.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide precise and objective resolution criteria tied directly to a single, named source. Resolution depends entirely on the high price of any one-minute candle on Binance's BTC/USDT pair meeting or exceeding $100,000 before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market resolves immediately once that condition is met or resolves to No after the deadline. There is no discretion left to the resolver, and the exclusion of other exchanges or pairs is explicitly documented.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
4%
chance▼ −2.45 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $100,000 before the end of 2026, tracked specifically via Binance 1-minute candle data for the BTC/USDT pair.
How it resolves
The market will immediately resolve to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT trading pair records a final High price of $100,000 or greater between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market will resolve to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold by the deadline. Resolution depends solely on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data; prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Resolution source
Binance (BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·