brierpoınt
CryptoCloses · in 229 days$11.8K volumePart of: When will Bitcoin hit $100k? →

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?

Trade on Polymarket ↗Referral link

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules are clearly defined with an objective resolution mechanism.

Read the full assessment

The rules are clearly defined with an objective resolution mechanism. Resolution relies entirely on the 1-minute candle high price of the BTC/USDT pair on Binance reaching or exceeding $100,000 before 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2027. The market resolves early to Yes as soon as the threshold is met. The only specific factor to keep in mind is that price action on other exchanges or different Binance trading pairs (such as BTC/USD or BTC/FDUSD) does not qualify.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

24%

chance

▼ −14 pts · 24h

Yes24¢
No77¢
by June 30, 2027 · Yes · 1MO 47.0 H 52.5 L 23.5 C 23.5−23.5 (−50.0%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −11 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 03:40 UTC

The price fell from 38% to 27% as Bitcoin dropped 4.82% over 24 hours on Binance, the likely driver making a move to $100,000 less probable.

  • Largest hourly change: 03:00 UTC, 57% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −4.8% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 229 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: by September 30, 2027 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 03:50 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of at least $100,000 by June 30, 2027. It specifically tracks only the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle data, excluding all other exchanges, trading pairs, and spot markets.

How it resolves

The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair reaches a final High price equal to or greater than $100,000 between market creation and June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if the price does not meet or exceed $100,000 by this deadline. Prices from other trading pairs, other exchanges, or other spot markets are disregarded. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT chart data.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·