Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market features clear, objective criteria that align well with its title.
Read the full assessment
This market features clear, objective criteria that align well with its title. It relies exclusively on the 1-minute candle high price for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion. Resolution triggers immediately if the price reaches or exceeds $100,000 at any point prior to 11:59 PM ET on March 31, 2027, and resolves to 'No' otherwise. Participants only need to be aware that price action on other exchanges or different trading pairs will not count.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
14%
chance▼ −9.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches or exceeds a price of $100,000 on Binance by March 31, 2027. Resolution depends strictly on the BTC/USDT pair on Binance and disregards prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair reaches a final High price of $100,000 or greater between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on March 31, 2027. The market resolves to No if no such 1-minute candle hits that threshold by the deadline. The resolution is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart, and data from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets is not considered.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·