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CryptoCloses · in 413 days$13.7K volumePart of: When will Bitcoin hit $100k? →

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution.

Read the full assessment

The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution. The market resolves immediately to Yes if any one-minute candle on Binance for the BTC/USDT trading pair reaches a High price of at least $100,000 before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, and otherwise resolves to No. The source is explicitly defined as the official Binance chart data, leaving no room for discretionary interpretation. Position holders should simply keep in mind that price action on other exchanges or alternative currency pairs will not count toward resolution.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

59%

chance

▼ −1 pts · 24h

Yes59¢
No42¢
by December 31, 2027 · Yes · 1MO 67.5 H 67.5 L 56.0 C 58.5−9.0 (−13.3%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −12 pts24h · detected 11 Nov 2026, 00:10 UTC

The price dropped from 68% to 56%, but available market data provides insufficient evidence to identify a likely driver for the move.

  • Largest hourly change: 06:00 UTC, 43% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.2% in the move hour, −1.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 416 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 00:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $100,000 before the end of 2027, relying strictly on 1-minute candle high data from Binance's BTC/USDT pair.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair registers a final High price of $100,000 or greater between the market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027. The market resolves to No if no such candle reaches that threshold by the deadline. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart data is the sole deciding source; price data from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets is disregarded.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·