Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution. The market tracks a single clearly specified trading pair (BTC/USDT) on Binance using one-minute candle low prices. The evaluation window includes exact start and end dates with time zones specified, and the market resolves immediately to Yes if the price reaches or drops below $15,000 during that window, or to No otherwise. With a dedicated, publicly accessible data source and clearly defined thresholds, there is minimal room for interpretive dispute.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) drops to $15,000 or lower on Binance within the specified timeframe. Resolution is strictly tied to Binance's 1-minute candle Low prices, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market will immediately resolve to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $15,000 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to No. Resolution depends solely on price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded. The deciding source is Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·