Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly define the target threshold, observation window, time zone, and exact data source.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly define the target threshold, observation window, time zone, and exact data source. Resolution relies strictly on the one-minute candle Low price for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance, leaving no room for decider interpretation or alternative exchange data. The market resolves immediately to Yes if the price touches or breaches $50,000 during the specified timeframe starting November 24, 2025, and resolves to No if that price is never reached by December 31, 2026.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
10%
chance▲ +4.75 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin falls to $50,000 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026. It relies exclusively on the 1-minute candle Low price for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT records a final Low price equal to or lower than $50,000 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or breaches this threshold during that timeframe. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or alternative spot markets are disregarded. Resolution is determined solely using Binance 1-minute candle chart data for BTC/USDT.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·