Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide precise, objective resolution criteria tied directly to the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle low on Binance within a defined timeframe and timezone.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide precise, objective resolution criteria tied directly to the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle low on Binance within a defined timeframe and timezone. The market resolves immediately to Yes if any qualifying 1-minute candle touches or drops below $30,000, and resolves to No after the final deadline if the threshold is not reached. Only Binance BTC/USDT is considered, leaving virtually no room for decider interpretation.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▲ +0.2 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) drops to $30,000 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on Binance 1-minute candle data, ignoring all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $30,000 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during that period. Only Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices determine the outcome; data from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·