Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide clear, objective, and deterministic resolution criteria.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide clear, objective, and deterministic resolution criteria. Outcome determination relies entirely on a specified single source and trading pair (Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data). The price threshold ($20,000), qualifying metric (final candle Low), and precise timeframe with explicit timezone (November 24, 2025, 14:00 to December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET) are strictly defined, alongside an explicit early resolution provision if the price target is touched during the window.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a low price of $20,000 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution relies exclusively on one-minute candle data from Binance's BTC/USDT pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $20,000 between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution depends solely on price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair on the 1-minute chart. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets are not considered.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·