Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules provide unambiguous, objective criteria tied directly to a single named source and trading pair.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules provide unambiguous, objective criteria tied directly to a single named source and trading pair. The market resolves to Yes as soon as any one-minute candle on Binance's BTC/USDT market registers a high price of $90,000 or greater before December 31, 2026 at 23:59 ET, and otherwise resolves to No. The exact chart settings and source URL are specified, and the rules explicitly state that prices from other exchanges or trading pairs will not be considered, leaving virtually no room for interpretation or decider discretion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
8%
chance▼ −7 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $90,000 on Binance before the end of 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $90,000 between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if this price threshold is not reached within that timeframe. Resolution relies solely on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart; prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are not considered.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·