Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules provide precise, objective criteria based strictly on 1-minute candle high prices for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules provide precise, objective criteria based strictly on 1-minute candle high prices for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance. The time window is clearly defined with specific start and end timestamps in Eastern Time, and the market resolves immediately to Yes if the target threshold is met within that window or to No after the final deadline. Market participants should note that only the specified Binance BTC/USDT pair is tracked, meaning price action on other exchanges or different currency pairs will not count.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on 1-minute candle high prices for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT shows a final High price equal to or greater than $1,000,000 between November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if this price threshold is not reached during the specified window. Resolution relies solely on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart; other trading pairs, spot markets, or external exchanges are not considered.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·