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CryptoCloses · in 413 days$519.4K volumePart of: Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? →

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

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Gotcha risk

Medium

2 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: Resolution hinges on evaluating the token price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token becomes publicly tradable, multiplied by its total supply.

Read the full assessment

Resolution hinges on evaluating the token price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token becomes publicly tradable, multiplied by its total supply. The primary area to watch is that no specific data aggregator or pricing venue is named; resolution instead relies on identifying the most liquid price source available, which introduces decider judgment if prices or reported trading volumes diverge across exchanges. In addition, total supply figures can occasionally differ across tracking platforms depending on how unminted or locked allocations are counted. If no token launches by December 31, 2027, the market automatically settles as No.

Resolver
Medium
Timing
Low
Wording
Medium
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

69%

chance

▼ −8 pts · 24h

Yes69¢
No31¢
$800M · Yes · 1MO 61.0 H 83.5 L 49.0 C 68.5+7.5 (+12.3%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +11 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 08:25 UTC

The market rose from 68% to 80% as related Predict.fun FDV markets repriced higher together, including upward moves across the $1B, $1.5B, and $2B outcomes, acting as the likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 07:00 UTC, 50% of the net 24-hour change.
  • Closes 414 days after the move hour.
  • 5 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: $1B (up), $1.5B (up), $2B (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 08:35 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Market explained

This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Predict.fun's governance token exceeds $800M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its launch.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the FDV of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than $800M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV does not exceed $800M at that time, or if Predict.fun does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The price is determined using the most liquid price source available.

Resolution source

The most liquid price source available

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·