Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide a clear, deterministic standard for resolution based exclusively on Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle data.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide a clear, deterministic standard for resolution based exclusively on Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle data. The target threshold of $700 or lower and the deadline of 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, are clearly defined with an exact URL reference for verification. Participants should note that only the specific Binance ETH/USDT pair on the 1-minute timeframe is evaluated, meaning wicks or lower prices on other exchanges, alternate trading pairs, or off-exchange spot feeds will not trigger a positive resolution.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chance▲ +0.15 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum drops to $700 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution relies solely on the ETH/USDT pair on Binance and ignores other trading pairs and exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $700 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches $700 or below within that timeframe. Price action prior to market creation is disregarded. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets do not count. The deciding source is Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart data.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·