Will Ethereum dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules are straightforward and rely on an objective, named source.
Read the full assessment
The rules are straightforward and rely on an objective, named source. Resolution is tied exclusively to the 1-minute candle data for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance, specifically looking for any candle with a low price of $600 or lower before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. A position holder should note that price movements on other exchanges or alternative trading pairs (such as ETH/USD or ETH/USDC) do not count, so flash crashes or price anomalies restricted to other platforms will not trigger a positive resolution.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▲ +0.4 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum (ETH/USDT) drops to $600 or lower by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance 1-minute candle data.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, records a final Low price equal to or lower than $600. Price action prior to market creation is not considered. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or falls below this threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined strictly by the ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart on Binance, ignoring prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·