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CryptoCloses · in 48 days$1M volumePart of: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? →

Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?

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Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The market rules provide a precise, objective resolution standard tied directly to a single named source and specific chart settings.

Read the full assessment

The market rules provide a precise, objective resolution standard tied directly to a single named source and specific chart settings. The outcome resolves immediately to Yes if any one-minute ETH/USDT candle on Binance registers a final Low price of $1,750 or lower before the December 31, 2026 cutoff, and resolves to No otherwise. There is no decider discretion or ambiguity regarding which trading pair or timeframe governs the result, though participants should be aware that exchange-specific flash wicks on Binance will trigger resolution regardless of prices on other platforms.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

49%

chance

▲ +22.5 pts · 24h

Yes49¢
No51¢
↓ 1,750 · Yes · 1MO 11.5 H 49.5 L 9.5 C 49.0+37.5 (+326.1%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +20 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 18:40 UTC

The probability rose from 24% to 47% as Ethereum fell 0.5% in the hour and 3.2% over 24 hours on Binance, bringing the price closer to the threshold and making a dip to $1,750 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 13:00 UTC, 31% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −0.5% in the move hour, −3.2% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 49 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 2,000 (up), ↓ 1,500 (up), ↑ 3,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 05:05 UTC

Earlier

▼ −11 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 18:55 UTCThe market dropped from 35% to 24% as Ethereum rose 0.66% on Binance in the move hour and 2.29% over 24 hours, making a dip to $1,750 less likely.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 19:05 UTC

Earlier

▲ +11 pts · 9 Nov 2026, 07:25 UTCThe market price rose from 21% to 32% as Ethereum fell 4.5% on Binance in the move hour, making a dip to $1,750 more likely.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 07:35 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Ethereum drops to $1,750 or lower before the end of 2026. Resolution is strictly tied to Binance's ETH/USDT 1-minute candle low prices, ignoring all other exchanges and trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final Low price of $1,750 or lower between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The resolution outcome is determined solely by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart price data. Prices from other exchanges, alternative trading pairs, or other spot markets are not considered.

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·