Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules are straightforward and objective.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules are straightforward and objective. Resolution depends entirely on whether any one-minute candle on Binance for the ETH/USDT pair records a low price equal to or below $1,250 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. A direct URL to the designated exchange pair is supplied, leaving virtually no room for decider interpretation or discretionary judgment.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
11%
chance▲ +4 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum drops to $1,250 or lower before the end of 2026. Resolution is strictly tied to Binance's 1-minute ETH/USDT candle data, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $1,250 between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches $1,250 or lower during that period. Price action prior to market creation is disregarded. Prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs do not count. The deciding source is Binance 1-minute ETH/USDT chart data.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·