Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules clearly define the conditions for a positive outcome, specifying the exact threshold, deadline, timezone, and data metric.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules clearly define the conditions for a positive outcome, specifying the exact threshold, deadline, timezone, and data metric. Resolution relies strictly on a single, named public source using 1-minute ETH/USDT candles on Binance, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion or conflicting interpretations. Position holders only need to track Binance price action for the specified pair.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum's price on Binance will reach or fall below $500 at any point before the end of 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT between the market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, records a final Low price equal to or lower than $500. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or dips below $500 during that timeframe. Price action prior to market creation is disregarded. Prices from other trading pairs, spot markets, or other exchanges are not considered. Resolution is decided solely using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·