Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are clearly defined based on an objective, single-source price feed.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are clearly defined based on an objective, single-source price feed. The outcome relies strictly on whether the high of any one-minute candle on Binance's ETH/USDT market reaches or exceeds $3,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Price action on other exchanges or alternative trading pairs is explicitly excluded, leaving minimal room for ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
5%
chance▼ −2.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches or exceeds $3,000 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices on Binance, disregarding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT trading pair shows a final High price equal to or greater than $3,000 between the market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if this price threshold is not reached within that period. Price action occurring before the creation of the market is disregarded, as are prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets. Resolution is decided strictly using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle High prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·